Stage of development: Implementation
Policy sector: Child and family welfare
Date outcomes contract signed: Feb 2019
Start date of service provision: Apr 2019
Anticipated completion date: Mar 2024
Capital raised (minimum): GBP 594.08k (USD 758.18k)
Max potential outcome payment: GBP 1.62m
Service users: 48 individuals
Pause is an intensive, relationship-based support programme, delivered over 18 months. The trauma informed support offered is practical (e.g. support accessing and engaging with benefit entitlement, debt advice, stable housing, primary care services – GP, dental, sexual health, etc), behavioural (e.g. development of behavioural regulation techniques, healthy relationships) and therapeutic (e.g. recovery from loss and trauma)
The target population is women of child bearing age who have experienced (or are at high risk of experiencing) a cycle of recurrent care proceedings leading to removal of their children into local authority care.
Configuration of contracting parties:
This project started delivering services in April 2019 and will finish in March 2024. Data was last updated in March 2023. These are interim results.
The graph above shows interim results for the project’s outcome achievements. Each bar represents a key participant outcome or metrics. Each metric is detailed above the graph (under the ‘Outcome metrics’ section of this page). Users can hover over the bars to access data on the expectations and achievements for that particular metric. Labels at the top of the bar represent the overall expectations for specific metrics, for the entire life of the project. The coloured section of the bar represents the project’s achievements so far.
Each bar takes the unit of analysis of the metric (if the metric is measured in number of individuals, the bar graph is representing individuals achieving that metric. If the metric is measured in weeks, the bar graph is representing weeks).
A note on targets (or expectations): the graph above shows the latest targets for the project. These targets are based on the best-case scenario expectations for every project. These targets may be different from the targets set at the start, as projects adapt to unexpected challenges or changes in circumstances. In addition, these targets could also work as a ‘cap’ for payments. We offer these parameters as a reference on outcome achievement projections. If projects are under implementation, they are not expected to have achieved any of these targets yet.
The project commissioner interpretation of this graph:
'Metric 1 recognises that supporting women to take a ‘pause’ from repeated short interval pregnancies is pivotal to creating space for women to focus on their own needs and fully engage with the project, to improve wellbeing, resilience and stability, reflect on trauma and begin recovery, learn, aspire, build self-esteem and agency. The longer women maintain engagement, the greater the confidence that this ‘pause’ from pregnancy is attributable to the programme. Therefore, whilst there is a pro-rata payment for engagement of at least 8 months, to achieve the full Metric 1 outcome payment, women must maintain engagement with the programme for at least 12 months.
Metric 2 demonstrates programme impact has been sustained, and women have been successfully supported to exit the cycle of short interval pregnancies leading to care proceedings. If a woman does give birth after engaging with the programme and care proceedings are not instigated, Metric 2 will demonstrate the project has been successful in effectively supporting her to create the foundations upon which she has then gone forward to build parenting capacity.
The metrics were selected in preference to other potential outcomes metrics (e.g. measures of domestic abuse experienced, wellbeing and mental health, engagement with wider services, etc) because they are ‘concrete’, objective metrics that don’t rely on voluntary self-reporting, which would be particularly challenging in the post-programme phase, and do not require significant resources for outcome data collection and verification.
Metric 2 achievement is slightly below that of Metric 1 due to two women sadly passing away after completion of the programme, and is therefore not a reflection of the efficacy of the project.'
The graph above shows interim outcome payment results. The x-axis displays the years since the start date of the project to the anticipated completion date. The y-axis represents the value of the payments for outcomes realised by participants in the programme. The aim of this graph is to enable users to compare the initial expectations of the project against the actual value of the outcomes that were achieved.
The dotted lines represent the different plans that projects had at different moments- labelled as ‘Plans’ in the key. The data for these dotted lines (or single dotted line) comes from the outcome payment profiles that projects shared with the commissioners and their values represent expectations according to 'best-case scenarios' (if projects achieved as many outcomes as possible). There are different dotted lines as projects can renegotiate their payment plans as they face changes that affect delivery (such as the COVID pandemic) or adjust their expectations during the life of the project. Each dotted line is made of a set of points. Each point represents a quarter. Users can hover over those points and access data on the expectations for that quarter.
The solid line shows the outcome payments that the project already claimed and received- labelled as ‘Actual’ in the key. Squared points on the 'Actual' line indicate that the payment for that quarter was a COVID-19 medium-scenario grant. This was one of the temporary funding options offered to projects during the COVID-19 pandemic (this included activity payments based on projected medium-case performance scenarios). On the top-right corner, the ‘Plans’ and ‘Actual’ lines can be selected and deselected to change which lines appear in the graph.
A note on the representation of different payment profiles (or plans): when Life Chances Fund projects reprofile their payment plans, they use a template provided by the National Lottery Fund. When they complete data for the past quarters, some projects preferred to leave those cells blank, other preferred to repeat the previous expectations and other decided to complete those cells with data from actual payments. To avoid confusions around these different criteria, we start representing a plan from the moment when the plan is valid.
The project commissioner interpretation of this graph:
'Outcome payments for Metric 1 are paid as a lump sum, 19 months after a woman commences engagement with the project. Outcome payments for Metric 2 are paid quarterly in arrears, from 18 months to 36 months after a woman commences engagement with the project, based on a daily rate card.
Plan 1 was developed at project set up and based on assumptions of how many women would subsequently successfully engage with the programme. Plan 2 was subsequently developed once actual numbers of women engaging in two consecutive cohorts were known, and outcome projections were revised for the whole project, based on progress already seen with Cohort 1.
The Covid19 pandemic presented a significant potential challenge to achievement of outcomes; however, the Pause practice team found creative ways to adjust programme delivery and sustain women’s engagement throughout periods of lockdown and social distancing restrictions; this proved effective in mitigating the risks to outcome achievement associated with the pandemic.
Actual Metric 2 outcome payments have been slightly below Plan 2 since December 2022, as two women from our Cohort 2 sadly passed away before reaching the full outcome milestone.'
The following articles are taken from the Systematic Review of Outcomes Contracts Collaboration (SyROCCo) Machine Learning tool.
The tool is a collaboration between the Government Outcomes Lab and machine learning experts from the University of Warwick, that allows you to navigate and explore data extracted from nearly 2000 academic and grey literature publications related to outcomes-based contracting.
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